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How to Test a Setup

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What volume makes a test honest, which numbers to watch at each stage and when a setup should be closed rather than pushed harder.

How to Test a Setup

A test is not «try it and see». It is a measurement with a volume and a stop rule set in advance. Without both you are not testing, you are spending.

How much volume

A hundred contacts per variant is the minimum at which numbers mean anything. At twenty you are looking at noise: two conversions instead of one looks like doubling and is not.

Practical consequence: do not run five variants when you can afford a hundred contacts total. Two variants of fifty beats five of twenty.

What to measure

  1. Delivered. What actually went out, not what you planned.
  2. Replies. Does the opening message work.
  3. Clicks. Does the transition to the offer work.
  4. Conversions. Does the offer work, and is it the right audience.

The stop rule

Set it before launch, in numbers: «close it if under five replies per hundred contacts». A rule invented afterwards is always lenient — you have already invested and do not want to admit it was wasted.

After a good test

Do not scale straight to double. Repeat the same volume once more: some good tests are luck, and a second run reveals that more cheaply than scaling does — the order for that is in scaling a setup.

Topic: Traffic

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